This report examines the core dynamics shaping Europe's security architecture as of 2026, along the axes of intra-alliance burden-sharing, transformation in the defense industry and regional deterrence equations.
Key Findings
- The upward trend in defense spending and the shift in procurement priorities
- Steps toward continent-scale integrated air and missile defense
- The rise of energy and critical-infrastructure security on the strategic agenda
In our assessment, the period ahead will take shape around three scenarios: gradual institutionalization, maintenance of the status quo, or a fragmented security order. The effects of each on regional actors and economic stability are detailed in the body of the report.
